COMPLEXITY PREMIA

Winners and Losers in FY23; Best Returns for FY24; Are Rate Hikes Coming to an End; Prepare for a Persistent Pain Trade; Bonds vs Equities…

Silicon Valley Bank; Credit Suisse; the Transfer of Wealth from Equity to Debt; Aussie Banks win in Flight to Quality; Default Cycle Ramps Up; Consumer Buffers; Best Trades and more…

The Coming Recession and Monster Default Cycle; Why illiquidity is Concealing Huge Risks; the Rise of Risk-free Yield and what it Means for Asset-Allocation…

The RBA’s sledgehammer is yet to fall; Bank bonds paying 6.75% pa; Riskier asset-classes to get hosed…

Christopher Joye: The RBA got it wrong, now it will crush everything…

Reflections on 2022 and Outlook for 2023…

Global Recession in 2023; Housing Hammered; Equities Risks; & Bond Market Opportunities…

Hunting Zombie Companies; the Next Sub-Prime Crisis in High-Yield Debt; the Outlook for Interest Rates; and the Aussie Housing Crash Accelerates…

US Recession; Bond Markets Bounce; Record Aussie Housing…

How March 2022 officially became the worst month in history for…

Whether Crypto is the 21st century Tulip Bulb Bubble?

Looking ahead into 2022; Trajectory for inflation, rates and asset prices; NSW slashes debt issuance by $20bn; Machines entering bond market…

House prices falling 20% if rates rise; Forecasting global wars; RBA vs bond bandits; October performance…

Inflationary headwinds for duration/equities, ESG Activism, Evergrande, APRA closing $139bn CLF, RBA QE3…

Forecasting Australian Herd Immunity; Vaccines Hitting 91% Adult Coverage; Borders Re-Opening in 2022; And Why the Strong Jobs Data is Not What it Seems…

A special episode of the Complexity Premia podcast is an audible version of a new research paper from Kieran Davies…