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Timely insights and research on markets and macroeconomics from around the world overlaid with Coolabah’s unique contrarian philosophy.
Latest News
Coolabah Capital Investments publishes its analysis and insights across a wide range of platforms, including special academic research publications, essays, the Complexity Premia podcast, weekly in The Australian Financial Review, and on Livewire. Check out this page for the latest updates.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 33
Global Recession in 2023; Housing Hammered; Equities Risks; & Bond Market Opportunities…
Coolabah Expands Investment Team
Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) is excited to announce some new additions to our investment team. With 24 years experience in fixed-income markets, Roger Douglas…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 32
Hunting Zombie Companies; the Next Sub-Prime Crisis in High-Yield Debt; the Outlook for Interest Rates; and the Aussie Housing Crash Accelerates…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 31
US Recession; Bond Markets Bounce; Record Aussie Housing…
The global factor driving Aussie swap spreads
Our fundamental model of Australian swap spreads that we released in December 2021 started the new year well, predicting…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 30
How March 2022 officially became the worst month in history for…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 29
Whether Crypto is the 21st century Tulip Bulb Bubble?
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 28
Looking ahead into 2022; Trajectory for inflation, rates and asset prices; NSW slashes debt issuance by $20bn; Machines entering bond market…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 27
House prices falling 20% if rates rise; Forecasting global wars; RBA vs bond bandits; October performance…
War Lab Revealed by ASPI’s The Strategist
Writing for the Australian Strategic Policy Institute’s The Strategist today, Coolabah Capital Investments’ Chief Investment Officer Christopher Joye unveils Coolabah’s new War Lab…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 26
Inflationary headwinds for duration/equities, ESG Activism, Evergrande, APRA closing $139bn CLF, RBA QE3…
Report by Dr Stephen Bartos
An Assessment of Public Policy Implications of Decisions in relation to the NSW Generations Fund and NSW Government Debt.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 25
Forecasting Australian Herd Immunity; Vaccines Hitting 91% Adult Coverage; Borders Re-Opening in 2022; And Why the Strong Jobs Data is Not What it Seems…
Forecasting Australian herd immunity and opening up our borders: early to mid 2022
Coolabah has attempted to forecast both the advent of “herd immunity” in Australia and when governments will be comfortable opening-up our borders to both inflows and outflows of vaccinated human capital, subject to…
Navigating By The Stars, Part 1: Estimating Australia’s NAIRU
With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) committed to reaching its legislated “full employment” objective in order to finally return inflation to its 2-3% target band, full employment…
Video: Using artificial intelligence in bond markets and trying to short Virgin senior bonds
Enclosed is a new Livewire video interview with Jason Lindeman, Coolabah’s highly experienced Head of Credit Research, which covers: Why Coolabah…
Latest Videos
Livewire: Don’t just sit back and hope – get active!
Livewire: Lessions from 30 years in credit markets
Livewire: RBA cash rate should be -3% to -4% hence QE to infinity
Livewire: Active management is key to fixed income alpha
Livewire: Why ASX hybrids are likely to perform strongly
Livewire: Why Coolabah is painting a rosy picture for 2021
The Complexity Premia Podcast
Coolabah also publishes the popular Complexity Premia Podcast, deconstructing modern investment problems in capital markets. See the latest episodes below.
Joye: Investors no longer need to reach for risk in order to secure their return objectives
Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye talks to the secular shift that is currently occurring into bonds…
Joye: Equities set for a “terrible” decade
In the age old battle of bonds versus equities, Coolabah’s Christopher Joye comes out swinging…
Pacific Asset Management and Coolabah forge new strategic partnership
Pacific Asset Management, the London-based asset manager and Coolabah Capital Investments, a leading global active credit fund manager, today announce the launch of the Pacific Coolabah Global Active Credit Fund.
Joye pulls no punches amid soaring bankruptcies, low productivity and the zombie apocalypse
Chris Joye from Coolabah Capital has big ideas and strong opinions, backed by data and insights…
Shocking Prediction: Forget equities, bonds will outperform over the next 2-3 years
One of three interconnected Shocking Predictions from Coolabah’s Chief Investment Officer at Livewire’s Live event…
Coolabah launches a new Active ETF: FRNS
The Coolabah Short Term Income Fund (Managed Fund) commences trading on Cboe Australia under the Ticker FRNS
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 39
Commercial Property in Crisis; Default Cycle Ramps Up; Non-Banks Under Pump; Bond Market Performance; Optimal Asset-Allocation; Best Trade Ideas; Sticky Inflation and Rates…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 38
Winners and Losers in FY23; Best Returns for FY24; Are Rate Hikes Coming to an End; Prepare for a Persistent Pain Trade; Bonds vs Equities…
SQM Awards Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Superior 4 Stars’
This week SQM Research awarded Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Superior’ 4 Star investment rating.
Chris Joye On Koda Capital’s ‘Inside The Rope’ Podcast – Cash is King
Christopher Joye discusses the current state and future of various asset classes, including residential property prices, cash, and bonds with Koda Capital’s David Clark.
Zenith Awards Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Recommended’ Rating
This week Zenith Investment Partners awarded Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Recommended’ investment rating.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 37
Silicon Valley Bank; Credit Suisse; the Transfer of Wealth from Equity to Debt; Aussie Banks win in Flight to Quality; Default Cycle Ramps Up; Consumer Buffers; Best Trades and more…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 36
The Coming Recession and Monster Default Cycle; Why illiquidity is Concealing Huge Risks; the Rise of Risk-free Yield and what it Means for Asset-Allocation…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 35
The RBA’s sledgehammer is yet to fall; Bank bonds paying 6.75% pa; Riskier asset-classes to get hosed…
Livewire’s ‘Rules Of Investing’ Podcast
Christopher Joye: The RBA got it wrong, now it will crush everything…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 33
Global Recession in 2023; Housing Hammered; Equities Risks; & Bond Market Opportunities…
Coolabah Expands Investment Team
Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) is excited to announce some new additions to our investment team. With 24 years experience in fixed-income markets, Roger Douglas…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 32
Hunting Zombie Companies; the Next Sub-Prime Crisis in High-Yield Debt; the Outlook for Interest Rates; and the Aussie Housing Crash Accelerates…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 31
US Recession; Bond Markets Bounce; Record Aussie Housing…
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