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Timely insights and research on markets and macroeconomics from around the world overlaid with Coolabah’s unique contrarian philosophy.
Latest News
Coolabah Capital Investments publishes its analysis and insights across a wide range of platforms, including special academic research publications, essays, the Complexity Premia podcast, weekly in The Australian Financial Review, and on Livewire. Check out this page for the latest updates.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 24
A special episode of the Complexity Premia podcast is an audible version of a new research paper from Kieran Davies…
Should we worry about a spike in US inflation?
This is an article published by Kieran Davies, Chief Macro Strategist, on Livewire recently. Key former policy-makers and academics have raised concerns about US inflation
Video: Lessons from 30 years in credit markets
This is an interview with Jason Lindeman, Head of Credit Research, published on Livewire recently. Jason Lindeman, Head of Credit Research at Coolabah Capital Investments,
Forecasting the housing boom
Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies replicates one of the RBA’s internal models on the Australian housing market and finds that house prices are expected to appreciate by about 25% over the next few years. Read the overview enclosed below.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 23
Housing Affordability Non-Crisis; Bond Market Rebound; March Performance; Bank Liquidity Issues; RBA’s QE3 Program; Credit Markets; & Budget Deficits…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 22
The Bond Market Bloodbath; February Returns; RBA QE 3.0 and 4.0; & How the RBA’s Governor Phil Lowe Brutally Blew-Up the Bond Bandits…
RBA QE is being outpaced by rest of the world, putting upward pressure on A$ and implying more QE is needed…
This is an article published by Kieran Davies, Chief Macro Strategist, on Livewire recently. In a world of near-zero interest rates, the stance of monetary
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 21
RBA QE 1.0, 2.0, 3,0 and 4.0; WWIII; House Bubble No…
Forecasting QE3 Program
In this new paper, Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies, and its Chief Investment Officer, Christopher Joye, examine the case for the RBA launching QE
QE 2.0: Weak wages growth and the RBA’s full employment goal point to another round of bond purchases
In this new paper, Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies, and its Chief Investment Officer, Christopher Joye, examine the case for the RBA launching QE
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 20
Our portfolio performance in 2020; Our forecasts for 2021, including housing, unemployment, QE and macro markets generally; The burgeoning conflict between democracy and autocracy; and Our thoughts on the big left- and right-tail risks, including the prospect of major power conflict.
Active management is key to fixed income alpha
This is an article published on Livewire recently. Smart active managers in high-grade credit can find and exploit bond mispricings to generate alpha (or capital
Commonwealth budget, Oct 2020: Tracking better than the government’s forecast profile ahead of a windfall from iron ore
Authored by Kieran Davies, Coolabah Capital Investments. In this new report, we review our real-time tracking of the Commonwealth budget. Treasurer Frydenberg is expected to
Why Coolabah is painting a rosy picture for 2021
This is an article published on Livewire recently. Ying Yi Ann Cheng, Portfolio Management Director at Coolabah Capital Investments, says the manager spent almost one
QE, the collapse of the money multiplier, and the bond multiplier
In a new report published today we argue that this year has seen a sea change in the operation of monetary policy in Australia with the
Aussie house prices increase in October (in line with our March 2020 forecast)
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Consistent with our March 2020 forecast for a very mild 0% to 5%
Latest Videos
Livewire: Don’t just sit back and hope – get active!
Livewire: Lessions from 30 years in credit markets
Livewire: RBA cash rate should be -3% to -4% hence QE to infinity
Livewire: Active management is key to fixed income alpha
Livewire: Why ASX hybrids are likely to perform strongly
Livewire: Why Coolabah is painting a rosy picture for 2021
The Complexity Premia Podcast
Coolabah also publishes the popular Complexity Premia Podcast, deconstructing modern investment problems in capital markets. See the latest episodes below.
Joye: Investors no longer need to reach for risk in order to secure their return objectives
Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye talks to the secular shift that is currently occurring into bonds…
Joye: Equities set for a “terrible” decade
In the age old battle of bonds versus equities, Coolabah’s Christopher Joye comes out swinging…
Pacific Asset Management and Coolabah forge new strategic partnership
Pacific Asset Management, the London-based asset manager and Coolabah Capital Investments, a leading global active credit fund manager, today announce the launch of the Pacific Coolabah Global Active Credit Fund.
Joye pulls no punches amid soaring bankruptcies, low productivity and the zombie apocalypse
Chris Joye from Coolabah Capital has big ideas and strong opinions, backed by data and insights…
Shocking Prediction: Forget equities, bonds will outperform over the next 2-3 years
One of three interconnected Shocking Predictions from Coolabah’s Chief Investment Officer at Livewire’s Live event…
Coolabah launches a new Active ETF: FRNS
The Coolabah Short Term Income Fund (Managed Fund) commences trading on Cboe Australia under the Ticker FRNS
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 39
Commercial Property in Crisis; Default Cycle Ramps Up; Non-Banks Under Pump; Bond Market Performance; Optimal Asset-Allocation; Best Trade Ideas; Sticky Inflation and Rates…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 38
Winners and Losers in FY23; Best Returns for FY24; Are Rate Hikes Coming to an End; Prepare for a Persistent Pain Trade; Bonds vs Equities…
SQM Awards Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Superior 4 Stars’
This week SQM Research awarded Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Superior’ 4 Star investment rating.
Chris Joye On Koda Capital’s ‘Inside The Rope’ Podcast – Cash is King
Christopher Joye discusses the current state and future of various asset classes, including residential property prices, cash, and bonds with Koda Capital’s David Clark.
Zenith Awards Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Recommended’ Rating
This week Zenith Investment Partners awarded Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Recommended’ investment rating.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 37
Silicon Valley Bank; Credit Suisse; the Transfer of Wealth from Equity to Debt; Aussie Banks win in Flight to Quality; Default Cycle Ramps Up; Consumer Buffers; Best Trades and more…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 36
The Coming Recession and Monster Default Cycle; Why illiquidity is Concealing Huge Risks; the Rise of Risk-free Yield and what it Means for Asset-Allocation…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 35
The RBA’s sledgehammer is yet to fall; Bank bonds paying 6.75% pa; Riskier asset-classes to get hosed…
Livewire’s ‘Rules Of Investing’ Podcast
Christopher Joye: The RBA got it wrong, now it will crush everything…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 33
Global Recession in 2023; Housing Hammered; Equities Risks; & Bond Market Opportunities…
Coolabah Expands Investment Team
Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) is excited to announce some new additions to our investment team. With 24 years experience in fixed-income markets, Roger Douglas…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 32
Hunting Zombie Companies; the Next Sub-Prime Crisis in High-Yield Debt; the Outlook for Interest Rates; and the Aussie Housing Crash Accelerates…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 31
US Recession; Bond Markets Bounce; Record Aussie Housing…
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