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Timely insights and research on markets and macroeconomics from around the world overlaid with Coolabah’s unique contrarian philosophy.
Latest News
Coolabah Capital Investments publishes its analysis and insights across a wide range of platforms, including special academic research publications, essays, the Complexity Premia podcast, weekly in The Australian Financial Review, and on Livewire. Check out this page for the latest updates.
Wattle Partners, Market Thinkers Episode #7
In the seventh session of Wattle Partner’s ‘Market Thinkers’ series, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager, Christopher Joye, discusses with Jamie Nemtsas and Drew Meredith
How tight can semi-spreads go post QE?
Authored by Dr James Yang, Senior Data Scientist, Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer, Matthew Coleman, Senior Consultant, Coolabah Capital Investments. This brief note seeks to
Aggressive RBA Policy Easing in November
Authored by Kieran Davies; Coolabah Capital Investments. For a number of months now Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) has forecast that the RBA would embark on
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 19
Traders vs Investors; Why Markets are Ignoring Second Waves; Central Banks Disintermediating Markets; Performance; and Turning Beta into Alpha
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 18
The Next Big Pivot Point for Markets – COVID-19 Vaccines; June Performance; Liquidity in Bond Markets; NAB’s Landmark Unlisted Hybrid Deal; And More
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 17
Impact of Covid-19 on Markets, Future Risks Including US-China Relations, Global Debt Crises, EU Disintegration and Aussie Housing
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 16
Impact of Covid-19 on Markets, Future Risks Including US-China Relations, Global Debt Crises, EU Disintegration and Aussie Housing
Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World
Coolabah’s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which in March correctly predicted an early April peak for the number of new infections in key countries like the
Global Empirical Forecasts of COVID-19 Trajectories Under Limited Information on the Efficacy of Intervention Strategies
Authored by Kai Lin, Christopher Joye, Nathan Giang, and Dr Adam Richardson; Coolabah Capital Investments. As the novel coronavirus and its associated disease COVID-19 started
Peak Virus: Forecasting the Peak in COVID-19 Infections in the US and Australia
Authored by Kai Lin and Christopher Joye, Coolabah Capital Investments. As we move through “peak virus”, our team has spent time reflecting on significant trigger
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 15
Coronavirus Special, Central Bank Action, Next Crisis To Be Triggered by Subprime Corp Loans, Aussie Housing
House prices to rise at 20 per cent this cycle
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Today I write that housing boom is tracking more or less exactly as
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 14
2019 Performance Wrap-up; Coolabah’s Approach to Life; Coming of a Dangerous Decade; Rise of Zombie Companies; Lunch with One of the World’s Biggest HF Managers
Hedgie: More sharks on land than in water in these parts
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. In this column I submit 10 big ideas for the next decade, which
Rise of the ASX Zombies
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Our thesis is simple: capitalism is dying and the myopic public policy statism
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 13
Bond Market Returns in 2019; Welcoming Pinnacle to our Family; Human Frailties of the World’s Greatest Investor; RBA vs the Govt over Fiscal Policy and More…
Latest Videos
Livewire: Don’t just sit back and hope – get active!
Livewire: Lessions from 30 years in credit markets
Livewire: RBA cash rate should be -3% to -4% hence QE to infinity
Livewire: Active management is key to fixed income alpha
Livewire: Why ASX hybrids are likely to perform strongly
Livewire: Why Coolabah is painting a rosy picture for 2021
The Complexity Premia Podcast
Coolabah also publishes the popular Complexity Premia Podcast, deconstructing modern investment problems in capital markets. See the latest episodes below.
Joye: Investors no longer need to reach for risk in order to secure their return objectives
Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye talks to the secular shift that is currently occurring into bonds…
Joye: Equities set for a “terrible” decade
In the age old battle of bonds versus equities, Coolabah’s Christopher Joye comes out swinging…
Pacific Asset Management and Coolabah forge new strategic partnership
Pacific Asset Management, the London-based asset manager and Coolabah Capital Investments, a leading global active credit fund manager, today announce the launch of the Pacific Coolabah Global Active Credit Fund.
Joye pulls no punches amid soaring bankruptcies, low productivity and the zombie apocalypse
Chris Joye from Coolabah Capital has big ideas and strong opinions, backed by data and insights…
Shocking Prediction: Forget equities, bonds will outperform over the next 2-3 years
One of three interconnected Shocking Predictions from Coolabah’s Chief Investment Officer at Livewire’s Live event…
Coolabah launches a new Active ETF: FRNS
The Coolabah Short Term Income Fund (Managed Fund) commences trading on Cboe Australia under the Ticker FRNS
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 39
Commercial Property in Crisis; Default Cycle Ramps Up; Non-Banks Under Pump; Bond Market Performance; Optimal Asset-Allocation; Best Trade Ideas; Sticky Inflation and Rates…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 38
Winners and Losers in FY23; Best Returns for FY24; Are Rate Hikes Coming to an End; Prepare for a Persistent Pain Trade; Bonds vs Equities…
SQM Awards Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Superior 4 Stars’
This week SQM Research awarded Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Superior’ 4 Star investment rating.
Chris Joye On Koda Capital’s ‘Inside The Rope’ Podcast – Cash is King
Christopher Joye discusses the current state and future of various asset classes, including residential property prices, cash, and bonds with Koda Capital’s David Clark.
Zenith Awards Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Recommended’ Rating
This week Zenith Investment Partners awarded Coolabah’s Floating-Rate High Yield Fund a ‘Recommended’ investment rating.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 37
Silicon Valley Bank; Credit Suisse; the Transfer of Wealth from Equity to Debt; Aussie Banks win in Flight to Quality; Default Cycle Ramps Up; Consumer Buffers; Best Trades and more…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 36
The Coming Recession and Monster Default Cycle; Why illiquidity is Concealing Huge Risks; the Rise of Risk-free Yield and what it Means for Asset-Allocation…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 35
The RBA’s sledgehammer is yet to fall; Bank bonds paying 6.75% pa; Riskier asset-classes to get hosed…
Livewire’s ‘Rules Of Investing’ Podcast
Christopher Joye: The RBA got it wrong, now it will crush everything…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 33
Global Recession in 2023; Housing Hammered; Equities Risks; & Bond Market Opportunities…
Coolabah Expands Investment Team
Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) is excited to announce some new additions to our investment team. With 24 years experience in fixed-income markets, Roger Douglas…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 32
Hunting Zombie Companies; the Next Sub-Prime Crisis in High-Yield Debt; the Outlook for Interest Rates; and the Aussie Housing Crash Accelerates…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 31
US Recession; Bond Markets Bounce; Record Aussie Housing…
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