Exciting new episode of Coolabah’s Complexity Premia Podcast out now!
Authored by Kieran Davies; Coolabah Capital Investments. For a number of months now Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) has forecast that the RBA would embark on another round of policy easing, which is a view that markets have gradually come to embrace. This note summarises our current expectations regarding the precise policy mix the RBA will …
Coolabah’s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which in March correctly predicted an early April peak for the number of new infections in key countries like the US and Australia when epidemiologists were advising the peak would be months later, is the 5th most downloaded public health research paper in the world according to the academic publishing …
Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World Read More »
Authored by Kai Lin, Christopher Joye, Nathan Giang, and Dr Adam Richardson; Coolabah Capital Investments. As the novel coronavirus and its associated disease COVID-19 started to rapidly transmit around the world in early 2020, the financial, social and health impacts represented a 1-in-100 year shock, the likes of which had not been observed since the …
Authored by Kai Lin and Christopher Joye, Coolabah Capital Investments. As we move through “peak virus”, our team has spent time reflecting on significant trigger points that might precipitate fundamental changes in future market sentiment. In this note, we publish preliminary internal forecasts for the distribution of COVID-19 infections in the US and Australia focussing …
Peak Virus: Forecasting the Peak in COVID-19 Infections in the US and Australia Read More »
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Today I write that housing boom is tracking more or less exactly as we expected, and based on the RBA’s model of housing dynamics one should pencil in total capital gains of circa 20 per cent this cycle assuming no further reductions in …
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. In this column I submit 10 big ideas for the next decade, which is bound to be a dangerous one, including: the coming of self-aware artificial intelligence; fusion between AI and humanity to create homo-digitus; the prospect of people living to 150 years …
Hedgie: More sharks on land than in water in these parts Read More »
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Our thesis is simple: capitalism is dying and the myopic public policy statism replacing it is breeding a new wave of zombie companies that cannot survive in a normalised interest rate world. These zombies have loaded up on debt they can only just …
We are delighted to announce that Pinnacle Investment Management (ASX: PNI) has joined the Coolabah Capital Investments’ family.
Coolabah Capital Investments was delighted to cornerstone the first-ever RMBS bond issue—offered by CBA—that has priced off the RBA cash rate rather than the traditionally-used Bank Bill Swap Rate (BBSW). This removes bank credit risk from the benchmark interest rate and will likely open the door to other RMBS issuers to follow in CBA’s pioneering footsteps. CBA’s …
Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye, Domain’s Jason Pellegrino and PEXA’s Marcus Price discuss the property market rebound.
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