Report by Dr Stephen Bartos
An Assessment of Public Policy Implications of Decisions in relation to the NSW Generations Fund and NSW Government Debt.
An Assessment of Public Policy Implications of Decisions in relation to the NSW Generations Fund and NSW Government Debt.
With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) committed to reaching its legislated “full employment” objective in order to finally return inflation to its 2-3% target band, full employment…
Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies replicates one of the RBA’s internal models on the Australian housing market and finds that house prices are expected to appreciate by about 25% over the next few years. Read the overview enclosed below.
In this new paper, Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies, and its Chief Investment Officer, Christopher Joye, examine the case for the RBA launching QE 2.0 after the current $100 billion QE program, which has helped slow the ascent of both long-term interest rates and Australia’s trade-weighted exchange rate, expires. They focus, in particular, on …
Authored by Kieran Davies, Coolabah Capital Investments. In this new report, we review our real-time tracking of the Commonwealth budget. Treasurer Frydenberg is expected to publish a budget update this week, with the Mid-year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) reportedly due on Thursday. Treasury’s strong preference would be to publish no change to the outlook …
In a new report published today we argue that this year has seen a sea change in the operation of monetary policy in Australia with the Reserve Bank adopting several unconventional measures that have been part and parcel of its peers’ policy toolkits since the global financial crisis. With the cash rate now at the Reserve …
QE, the collapse of the money multiplier, and the bond multiplier Read More »
Authored by Dr James Yang, Senior Data Scientist, Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer, Matthew Coleman, Senior Consultant, Coolabah Capital Investments. This brief note seeks to provide some evidence on how tight state government (semi) bond spreads in Australia could go in an environment in which the RBA is seeking to drive the jobless rate back …
Authored by Kieran Davies; Coolabah Capital Investments. For a number of months now Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) has forecast that the RBA would embark on another round of policy easing, which is a view that markets have gradually come to embrace. This note summarises our current expectations regarding the precise policy mix the RBA will …
Coolabah’s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which in March correctly predicted an early April peak for the number of new infections in key countries like the US and Australia when epidemiologists were advising the peak would be months later, is the 5th most downloaded public health research paper in the world according to the academic publishing …
Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World Read More »
Authored by Kai Lin, Christopher Joye, Nathan Giang, and Dr Adam Richardson; Coolabah Capital Investments. As the novel coronavirus and its associated disease COVID-19 started to rapidly transmit around the world in early 2020, the financial, social and health impacts represented a 1-in-100 year shock, the likes of which had not been observed since the …